By Seth Abramson
Bernie Sanders will win more pledged delegates than Hillary Clinton in the second half of the Democratic nominating season.
In fact, he’ll almost certainly win more pledged delegates than Clinton in the final three and a half months of the primary season.
And virtually without question, he’ll win more states than Clinton in these final three and a half months — it’s just a matter of how many more.
He’ll also close out the primary season, it appears, beating Donald Trump by as much or (more often) substantially more than Clinton in nearly every national and battle-ground state poll taken.
Yet none of it is a surprise, even in the context of a race the media told us was essentially over a month ago.
In fact, everything that’s happening now in the Clinton-Sanders race was predicted, long ago, by either Sanders himself or the hard data of this election season. Moreover, none of what’s happening is a surprise to the politicos on the Clinton side, either; that’s one reason they’re working overtime to control and then shift the narrative from the inevitability of a major Sanders comeback. While it’s still up in the air whether that comeback will be total or near-total, only by manipulating the narrative can the Clinton campaign keep Sanders at bay.
And that’s why understanding that what’s happening now is no more or less than what was readily predictable a year ago is crucial to understanding the current state of the Democratic primary race. This means unpacking not just the Clinton camp’s transparent attempts to skew the media narrative, but also, and more importantly, the hard data behind a comeback that could end up being every bit as historic as Sanders supporters are now suggesting it will be.